1. Exquisite Tweets from @Joshua_Pollack

    PreoccupationsCollected by Preoccupations

    A few thoughts on today's missile test from North Korea.

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    Joshua_Pollack

    Joshua H. Pollack

    Based on statements from Japan, ROK, and US, we stitched together an initial version of the flight profile. twitter.com/mhanham/status…

    Melissa Hanham @mhanham
    Early #DPRK ICBM data:
    45 min flight time
    3000km apogee
    1000km along the ground

    Those are nice round numbers that will get refined.

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    Joshua_Pollack

    Joshua H. Pollack

    Then, with remarkable speed, @nktpnd got ahold of updated figures. twitter.com/nktpnd/status/…

    Ankit Panda @nktpnd
    #NorthKorea's 7/28 ICBM launch:
    -Range: 1,000 km
    -Apogee: 3,700 km
    -Flight time: 47 minutes
    -Launched from: Mupyong-ni, Chagang province

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    Joshua_Pollack

    Joshua H. Pollack

    David Wright at @UCSUSA was making calculations. He updated and got an ICBM that can reach the northeastern USA. twitter.com/LauraEGrego/st…

    Laura Grego @LauraEGrego
    David Wright @UCSUSA calculates the max range of today's #NorthKorea #missile test using preliminary reported data.

    allthingsnuclear.org/dwright/new-no…

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    Joshua_Pollack

    Joshua H. Pollack

    Let's all pause to remember what @ArmsControlWonk was saying back on July 6, two days after the first ICBM test: thedailybeast.com/forget-alaska-…

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    Joshua_Pollack

    Joshua H. Pollack

    We'll probably know more in a day or so, but it looks like a second test of the same missile as on July 4, the Hwasong-14 ICBM.

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    Joshua_Pollack

    Joshua H. Pollack

    It went higher and further today. Did something not go as planned on the 4th? Or did the NKs gain confidence abt firing it closer to Japan?

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    Joshua_Pollack

    Joshua H. Pollack

    They also launched from a new location. identified by the Pentagon as Mupyong-ni. twitter.com/JChengWSJ/stat…

    Jonathan Cheng @JChengWSJ
    Pentagon says that Friday missile was indeed an ICBM, "as had been expected." When you put it that way, sounds pretty ho-hum.

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    Joshua_Pollack

    Joshua H. Pollack

    Joshua_Pollack

    Joshua H. Pollack

    Joshua_Pollack

    Joshua H. Pollack

    That raises a question: did NK just test an ICBM from an area where it actually plans to operate these missiles?

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    Joshua_Pollack

    Joshua H. Pollack

    The US term is ballistic missile operating area (BMOA). That's where mobile missiles patrol, as I told @AaronMehta: defensenews.com/news/pentagon-…

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    Joshua_Pollack

    Joshua H. Pollack

    Like I said, we may know more tomorrow, but it looks like NK might have tested an ICBM - at night - in an operationally realistic setting.

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    Joshua_Pollack

    Joshua H. Pollack

    It's not 1, 2, 5, 10, or 20 years away. It's here. And now we have to learn to live with it. (END)

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    Joshua_Pollack

    Joshua H. Pollack