1. Exquisite Tweets from @davidallengreen

    PreoccupationsCollected by Preoccupations

    Now re-read and thought about the three page summary of the Chequers meeting.

    My preliminary views, for what they are worth,

    1.

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    davidallengreen

    David Allen Green

    Having had the, ahem, joy of having read every HMG statement on Brexit - white paper, select committee responses, speeches, A50 notification - this is the first document to show any real maturity and seriousness.

    2.

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    davidallengreen

    David Allen Green

    This is is the sort of document you would hope HMG would have produced before the A50 notification.

    There is evidence of engagement with actual issues.

    So, for that, at least, it is welcome.

    3.

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    davidallengreen

    David Allen Green

    But all a three page summary is not the white paper. Just like a budget speech is not the budget,

    Every sensible person must wait for the White Paper (120 pages of complex and dense stuff, we are told) before forming a firm view.

    4.

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    davidallengreen

    David Allen Green

    There is fudge and picked cherries, but a better quality of fudge and cherries.

    The goods stuff is welcome, as is accepting ECJ law on trading rules.

    5.

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    davidallengreen

    David Allen Green

    Sadly, there is little serious on services or freedom of movement.

    If the White Paper is also along these lines, and unless EU27 shift (unlikely) this proposal will not be accepted.

    This is, at best, is a negotiating position not a final position.

    6.

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    davidallengreen

    David Allen Green

    But as many pundits have pointed out: this is the only (fairly) serious UK proposal available.

    The Brexiteers moment had their moment to put up or shut up, and they had nothing to put up.

    And it is nice to have cabinet collective responsibility again.

    7.

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    davidallengreen

    David Allen Green

    But while free trade in goods addresses the Irish border issue (a good expedient); UK economy based on services.

    That still left open as an issue. UK more likely than not to capitulate on that IMO, but not yet.

    8.

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    davidallengreen

    David Allen Green

    The devils will be in the detail, and the White Paper is crucial.

    Subject to that, this is a more positive than negative thing for a sensible outcome to Brexit.

    9.

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    davidallengreen

    David Allen Green

    Of course, if this is the essence of the White Paper, EU27 is likely to reject this position. It is cake,

    But - hurrah - at least EU27 have something of some substance *to reject*.

    A "no" rather than a "what?".

    And that means a proper negotiation can now take place.

    10/ends.

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    davidallengreen

    David Allen Green