1. Exquisite Tweets from @Samfr

    PreoccupationsCollected by Preoccupations

    Time for a thread on teacher shortages. All graphs come from an excellent report by @worth_jack published today. Full report here: nfer.ac.uk/media/3111/tea…

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    Samfr

    Sam Freedman

    1. We have a big big problem. The reduction in secondary teachers so far has been masked by a fall in pupils. But pupil numbers are about to shoot up

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    Samfr

    Sam Freedman

    2. This is a particular acute problem in London where more teachers are leaving and where pupil growth is highest. You know who lives in London? Nearly all the political journalists.

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    Samfr

    Sam Freedman

    3. This problem is actually mainly driven by a big increase in pupil numbers (though we knew that was coming) but isn't helped by lower retention rates

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    Samfr

    Sam Freedman

    4. Why are more teachers leaving than people in other public services? Because they're working more hours (during term time) for relatively less money.

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    Samfr

    Sam Freedman

    5. Teachers, when they do leave, go to jobs that earn less money but have fewer hours (on average). Which suggests the problem is more to do with hours. But if pay went up it may make people feel the extra hours are justified.

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    Samfr

    Sam Freedman

    6. But there is hope! Teacher satisfaction is actually really high. It's a great job! And lots of people come back to the profession.

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    Samfr

    Sam Freedman

    7. So this is an entirely solvable problem but we the only way to solve it is to rebalance working hours vs. pay and that's expensive whichever way you do it.

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    Samfr

    Sam Freedman

    8. Or you could just crash the economy and increase unemployment. But there's little sign of that.... oh wait...

    *Thread ends*

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    Samfr

    Sam Freedman