1. Exquisite Tweets from @EconomistLake, @TheStalwart

    PreoccupationsCollected by Preoccupations

    We have simulated a "Brexit" in our country forecast models. The projections are daunting. I will tweet some of the main outcomes we expect

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    EconomistLake

    Joseph Lake

    We assume UK would act swiftly to alleviate uncertainty, notifying EU of its intent to withdraw + outlining plans for new trade arrangement

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    EconomistLake

    Joseph Lake

    By 2020 we forecast UK GDP would be 6% below our non-Brexit baseline. There would be 380,000 more unemployed relative to non-Brexit baseline

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    EconomistLake

    Joseph Lake

    Brexit would usher in another phase of Europe's rolling crisis, inviting fundamental questions about the viability of the European project.

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    EconomistLake

    Joseph Lake

    Brexit would be a boost for anti-establishment + anti-EU political forces in many countries. Departure of other member states is v feasible

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    EconomistLake

    Joseph Lake

    We estimate that "Brexit" would reduce global GDP by US$200bn by end-2017, equivalent to an economy the size of Portugal or Vietnam.

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    EconomistLake

    Joseph Lake

  2. Missing tweet: 746162002733731840

  3. Quite a lot to break out. Most of the hit is to UK and most in 2017, not 2016. Sending you some (free to view) links

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    EconomistLake

    Joseph Lake

  4. It's interesting so many U.S. people -- particularly media people -- so anxious about this vote.

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    TheStalwart

    Joe Weisenthal

  5. Two world wars started in Europe and this is first sign that the EU is being rolled back. Momentous no matter where you live.

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    EconomistLake

    Joseph Lake