1. Exquisite Tweets from @drjennings

    PreoccupationsCollected by Preoccupations

    All political parties are coalitions of different factions, so division is never that far off. 1/4

    Reply Retweet Like

    drjennings

    Will Jennings

    Labour are currently faced with the challenge of reconciling the conflicting outlooks of cities vs. towns. 2/4

    Reply Retweet Like

    drjennings

    Will Jennings

    But UKIP also divided, between right-authoritarian (immigration/protectionism) and libertarian (Euroscepticism/free trade) factions. 3/4

    Reply Retweet Like

    drjennings

    Will Jennings

    And the Conservatives also (silently) divided between its globalist cosmpolitans and closed, protectionist traditionalism. 4/4

    Reply Retweet Like

    drjennings

    Will Jennings

    Far too little critical attention has been given, to date, to UKIP's deep divides between its origins and its working class revolt strategy.

    Reply Retweet Like

    drjennings

    Will Jennings

    Same for the Conservative's underlying divisions - which will likely be ignored until their political fortunes turn...

    Reply Retweet Like

    drjennings

    Will Jennings

    But it reflects a deep failing on the part of pundits (including academics) that there is focus on one set of divisions but not the others.

    Reply Retweet Like

    drjennings

    Will Jennings

    In UKIP's case this is because the demographics of its vote have often become the main story, rather than its substantive policy platform.

    Reply Retweet Like

    drjennings

    Will Jennings

    This is entirely predictable from the literature on media framing, and the bias of news coverage to episodic (event-focused) stories.

    Reply Retweet Like

    drjennings

    Will Jennings

    Also consider: in the period after May 2015, the Conservatives were just below 40% in the polls. They are currently ~1-2 points above that.

    Reply Retweet Like

    drjennings

    Will Jennings

    The narrative has been that Theresa May is all-conquering, but Conservative support has barely shifted, especially if you recall that...

    Reply Retweet Like

    drjennings

    Will Jennings

    ...most pollsters introduced methodological adjustments during this period which were designed to uplift the Conservative vote share.

    Reply Retweet Like

    drjennings

    Will Jennings

    Yet there is no talk that the Conservatives *still* may have something of a ceiling in their support.

    Reply Retweet Like

    drjennings

    Will Jennings