1. Exquisite Tweets from @jonlis1

    PreoccupationsCollected by Preoccupations

    Sturgeon speech defining moment. Emphasis that this is about hard Brexit, not Brexit. Single market was the bridge that May casually burned.

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    Jonathan Lis

    She knows it's nonsense that #indyref2 in 2019 means Scot can remain in EU or SM. Unless UK applies for A50 extension, we're out that March.

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    Jonathan Lis

    She's set perfect trap for UK Govt, and the move could frighten May into securing more concessions for Scotland in negotiations.

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    Jonathan Lis

    But a non-cynical reading perfectly valid. She tried to gain EEA concession; May decided that appeasing tabloid fanatics was worthier cause

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    Jonathan Lis

    And so whatever happens, Scotland leaves EU in 2019. Can't apply to rejoin EU until it has separated from UK (2021/2), then accession negs;

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    Jonathan Lis

    ...which will take years, and may involve tough choices for Scotland (commitments to join €/Schengen etc). Spain will have to ratify.

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    Jonathan Lis

    But those inconvenient truths don't matter, because Sturgeon now playing Boris's have-cake-and-eat-it game. No reason to doubt she will win.

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    Jonathan Lis

    Full ramifications barely imaginable right now: eg how can UK negotiate FTAs (not least w EU) while simultaneously cutting itself in two?

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    Jonathan Lis

    Everyone will suffer: Scotland, rUK, rEU. No matter. This is Brexit 2.0. Meaner, more divisive, more exhausting, and utterly avoidable.

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    Jonathan Lis