1. Exquisite Tweets from @faisalislam

    PreoccupationsCollected by Preoccupations

    Wherever we are in a week's time, this is one of the most extraordinary moves over the course of an election campaign, we have seen:

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    faisalislam

    Faisal Islam

    now on train up to York to see this last TV extravaganza for May & Corbyn - time to upload some of rollercoaster of past few weeks - thread:

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    Faisal Islam

    1/15 started campaign visiting 10 Labour seats in Tory sights - Bury, Bolton, Wakefield, Mansfield, Gedling etc...May Brexit surge was there

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    Faisal Islam

    2/15 ... in many my sense was that many local Labour had a month ago given up. Half Ukip vote plus Tory = loss. At least on spreadsheet.

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    faisalislam

    Faisal Islam

    3/15 ... but the swing to May was brittle, based on perceptions that she was a benevolent Maggie in an uncertain time, esp cf Corbyn

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    faisalislam

    Faisal Islam

    4/15 ..Most Leave voters not Brexiteers. The EU referendum forced them one way, for millions it is not the issue that defines them even now.

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    faisalislam

    Faisal Islam

    4b/15 ...eg did a documentary in Sunderland with Leave voters who loved Boris, but had no intention of abandoning Labour... no "betrayal"

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    faisalislam

    Faisal Islam

    5/15 overwhelming impression from month ago: these seats, some Labour since 1930s, were in play, but a lot easier said than done...

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    faisalislam

    Faisal Islam

    6/15 Con campaigns in new territory though, did not have ground data, voting records etc...& short campaign limit kicked in immediately

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    Faisal Islam

    7/15 So Tories hugely reliant on a huge wave of national letters "from Theresa May" and localised ones delivered to postal voters mid May

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    Faisal Islam

    8/15 All this national campaigning and Facebook targeting of ads was built on "strong & stable" brand, downplayed party and local candidates

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    faisalislam

    Faisal Islam

    9/15 Other than banning rugby league, cant think of a policy more laser-guided at deterring Northern lab leavers than WFA cut & care reforms

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    Faisal Islam

    10/15 Then Labour manifesto with elements of Lexit- eg nationalisations difficult in EU - has turned heads of some of that Leave vote

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    Faisal Islam

    11/15 After u-turn May approval ratings gone negative at worst poss time & for Corbyn have gone from up from v. negative. big relative move.

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    Faisal Islam

    12/15 To build an entire campaign on what were huge net positive approval ratings that then subsequently go negative, is quite something

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    Faisal Islam

    13/15 doubling down on Brexit is not definitively the right strategy to win back voters who wavered over cuts, winter fuel allowances & care

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    faisalislam

    Faisal Islam

    14/15 - our teams around the country are seeing the race close in and Labour vote in many Labour strongholds under Tory attack now holding

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    faisalislam

    Faisal Islam

    15/15 going to be long night on Thurs -perhaps Brexit plus strategy does yield Lab seats in Yorks/NE, but Lab could make gains in cuts areas

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    faisalislam

    Faisal Islam