Remember that whole "EU rejects populism after Brexit" thing?
2 years on...
National populists now no.1 in polls
AfD now number 2 in polls
60% now for populists/hard right
58% for national populist coalition
69% for Orban + Jobbik
And yet none of these parties aim to leave the EU. Or end Freedom of Movement of for EU citizens. Never mind the fact that each party referenced here has its own particular ideological traditions and strategic goals. The ideological gulf between Sweden Democrats and M5S is vast.
Every EU country has a broad spectrum of movements and faces significant risks. Populism is an element of political life in Europe that was always there and will not disappear. But dynamics of such movements need to be analysed in terms of specific ideological and social context
Cherrypicking various poll results without differentiating between electoral systems, percentages and strength of opposing forces in each state leads to misleading analysis. Ignoring often vast ideological differences between movements is highly problematic
Finally relentless focus on populism misses out on other structural challenges facing the EU system. Ferocious corruption within Romanian, Bulgarian or Maltese parties is the next potential crisis, yet it's ignored because it does not match a crude theoretical model of populism
Interesting chart of LR trends in rad rt support. Illustrates how story re: radical right isn't straightforward.
Sustained rise: Aus, Fra, Ger, Ita, Swe
Rise then slump: Fin, NL, Nor, UK
Flat or slow decline: Bel, DK, Lux, Swi
Sustained absence: Por, Spa (also Ire, not charted)